Around payrolls or a rate decision, it is not only the size of the move that changes. The conditions you trade on change too.
Liquidity thins ahead of the release and spreads widen — 1.3 pips can become several. Entry timing alone changes your cost.
When price gaps, the fill sits away from the order. That applies to stop orders as well as entries.
If price leaps past your stop level, the close happens beyond it. This is why a loss can exceed the figure you planned for.
Close before the release, hold with a smaller size, or stand aside and enter afterwards. The point is to pick one in advance, having checked the time of the release.
This column is provided for information only and is not a recommendation of any trade or method. Trading decisions are your own responsibility.
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